Market Situation

Mitengo yeEthanol yakakwira zvishoma nezvishoma kubva svondo rapfuura. Mutengo we ethanol muEast China uri kukwira, zvakaoma kuwana motokari kubva kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kusvika kuEast China uye mari yekufambisa iri kukwira, kugovera kunze kwekumabvazuva kweChina kunononoka, uyezve, iyo yakapoteredza yakadzika inoramba ichizadza pedyo, kushushikana. inoenderera svondo rino. Iyo yakaderera hesiti kubva kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva uye nzvimbo yerutsigiro kutanga kwevhiki, mamwe mahombe fekitori mitengo akasimuka, asi bhidhiyo yekudzingirira yambiro yakakwira, bhodhoro richiripo, pakati pevhiki munhamba shoma yematunhu inoratidzawo yakaderera-yekupedzisira mutengo kusunungura maitiro. .

Dunhu

Avhareji Mutengo svondo rino (CNY/TON)

Avhareji Mutengo Vhiki Yapfuura

(CNY/TON)

Kumusoro kana Kudzika

Iye Bei

7,000

7,020

-20

Su Bei

6,923

6,875

48

Guangxi (Molasses)

7,375

7,375

0

Jilin

6,590

6,530

60

Profit Estimation

Mitengo yechibage yekumaodzanyemba yakakwira svondo rino, kuchamhembe kweChina yakadonha zvishoma, shandong chibage chakasimuka zvishoma. Pakati pese, huwandu hwechibage chemwaka mutsva kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweChina huri kunonoka, varimi vachiri kubata zvinhu zvekutengesa, asi pfungwa dzekutengesa dzakaderera pane nakare, uye huwandu hwechibage chemwaka mutsva mune dzimwe nzvimbo hunotanga kuratidza zviratidzo. kuwedzera kuduku. Vazhinji vatengesi vachiri vakangwarira mashandiro, mashoma matura zvishoma nezvishoma anovaka diki rezvinyorwa. Mitengo yechibage yakakwira svondo rino, mutengo weiyo-chigadzirwa DDGS wakadonha, kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kwechibage ethanol theoretical estimates yepurofiti yakadzikira.  

Kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva chibage ethanol profit Estimation yakaita seinotevera:

1210 (1)

Mitengo yemufarinya wakaomeswa yakakwira ichibva yadzika svondo rino. Thailand raw material supply inoramba yakaderera, vatengesi vanonyanya kutengesa hesiti, izvo zvazvino zvigadzirwa zvinopa FOB Bangkok 258-262 USD/tani, musika wekutumira mamiriro anogamuchirwa. Cassava yakasimuka mushure mekudonha, cassava ethanol purofiti pasi peinotarisirwa kudzokororwa.

East China Dried cassava profit Estimation yakaita seinotevera:

1210 (2)

Rondedzero yemitengo yakakwira uye yakadzika (RMB)

Musika we ethyl acetate wakaramba uchidzikira svondo rino. Raw material glacial acetic acid inodonha zvakanyanya, mutengo wedivi unoramba uchiipa pamusika, mukati mesvondo mutengo wadzoka. Ethyl acetate kutanga mutoro wakadzikira kubva svondo rapfuura.

Crude Oil (WTI)

66.5 -15.17%

Crude Oil (BRENT)

69.67 -15.26%

Thermal Marasha Ramangwana

853.6 1.52%

Nhoroondo ye ThermalCoalFutures

1100 1.38%

Chibage (jinzhou Port

2615 -0.95%

Mufarinya (Thailand)

260 0.39%

DDGS(Jilin)

2335 -3.71%

LNG(Qianan Jiujiang)

6400 -14.67%

Methanol (Huadong)

2750 -2.74%

Methanol (Huadong)

2639 -0.45%

Acetic Acid Glacial

6225 -9.45%

Acetic Acid Glacial

6100 -9.96%

Ethanol Absolute

7750   

Ethanol Absolute (North East)

7300 1.39%

Ethanol Absolute (GX)

7775        

Ethanol Absolute (Zhongrong)

7100  

Ethyl Acetate (Jiangsu)

8850 -5.50% 

Ethyl Acetate (Hebei)

8825 -6.37%

Ethyl Acetate (GD)

9100 -5.94%

Ethyl Acetate (Zhongrong)

8760 -5.91%

Acetic acid-n-propylester

10,000

Butyl acetate

9750 -7.58%

Butyl acetate (Beijing Tianjin Hebei)

9625 -8.11%

Butyl acetate (GD)

10,000 -8.26%

Anhydrous ethanol musika kubva svondo rapfuura yakagadzikana uye yakasimba. Mutengo weanhydrous ethanol muNortheast China uri kukwira, uye anhydrous cargo iri nani pane 95% ethanol. Iko quotation yemafekitori ekuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva inosimudzwa mukutanga kwesvondo rino. Parizvino, hesera ichiri shoma, uye kuendesa kwemamwe maodha ekondirakiti kunononoka nekuda kwesimba rekufambisa kwemotokari. Kune nzvimbo shoma ine anhydrous muEast China, uye fekitori ichine chibvumirano chekuuraya, saka nzvimbo yacho haina kupfuma. Iko hakuna kushanduka kwemvura muSouth China, mudziyo unonyanya kuvharika, iyo inobuda haina kuwanda, iyo yakadzika inongoda kutsetseka, mutengo mukuru wakagadzikana kwenguva pfupi.

Area Utilization Rate

Ethanol mitoro yakasimuka svondo rino. Longhe muEast China akadzorera kugadzirwa. Nepo Ningan Xinrong naShuntong kuNortheast neNorth China vakadzoreredza kugadzirwa kwakawedzera huwandu hwekuremerwa. Yunnan Kewei anogona kuburitsa zvigadzirwa zvavo kutenderera 7th, Guangxi Baichen inoronga kuburitsa yavo munguva pfupi iri kutevera, uye Changxing Zhenjiang inogona kunge iine zvigadzirwa gare gare svondo rinouya.

Point View kubva kuZhongrong

Kuwanikwa kwenzvimbo muEast China kuri kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye zvinotora nguva kuti kutakura zvinhu uye mota zvisvike. Munguva pfupi iri kutevera, kutenga kukuru kwepasi kunogona kuchengetedzwa, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo muEast China icharamba ichishanda zvakasimba svondo rinouya. Kunyange zvazvo nhamba iri kuChamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweChina ishoma, zvazvino kubuda zvakakura, zvakaoma kuwana motokari dzekutakura motokari, uye kutakura zvinhu zvakakwirira, izvo zvisingafadzi kutakurwa kwenguva refu kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweChina. Zvakare, kukanganisa kwezviitiko zveveruzhinji munzvimbo dzesporadic dze Logistics kunoramba kuchizoonekwa. Kune rimwe divi, mafekitori ari kuchamhembe kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweChina achiri nemafungiro ekutumira, uye anofanirwawo kutarisisa kumhanya kwekupa uye kudiwa kwe ethanol pamberi peMutambo weChirimo. Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wakaderera muNortheast China uchadonha svondo rinouya.


Nguva yekutumira: Zvita-10-2021

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